Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.564842 3.785432 4.022283 4.297264 4.610030 4.957558 5.377026
2025-10-12 3.280339 3.586983 3.935902 4.368820 4.901362 5.549393 6.422441
2025-10-19 3.067391 3.427740 3.856242 4.416972 5.154426 6.130091 7.599470
2025-10-26 2.938324 3.344834 3.847128 4.537060 5.504746 6.900728 9.289409
2025-11-02 2.782345 3.208625 3.749954 4.520642 5.656954 7.418151 10.807083
2025-11-09 2.600876 3.022763 3.567472 4.360454 5.567820 7.532215 11.653421
2025-11-16 2.463086 2.882542 3.432251 4.249023 5.530754 7.717517 12.742255
2025-11-23 2.370759 2.795138 3.360313 4.219105 5.613473 8.129001 14.624025
2025-11-30 2.301686 2.733666 3.318264 4.227053 5.756135 8.689025 17.420947
2025-12-07 2.216513 2.645121 3.231296 4.156509 5.751649 8.948102 19.604529
2025-12-14 2.113789 2.527643 3.096179 3.999428 5.573310 8.789404 20.108217
2025-12-21 2.068657 2.487591 3.070324 4.013298 5.707070 9.373775 24.762530
2025-12-28 2.066800 2.512584 3.148022 4.214932 6.256689 11.289924 47.192824
2026-01-04 2.026516 2.481363 3.140376 4.275155 6.547469 12.751410 102.442825
2026-01-11 1.984564 2.445510 3.123164 4.317228 6.812956 14.382164 1395.726599
2026-01-18 1.961080 2.435085 3.144335 4.430169 7.270057 17.278356 NaN
2026-01-25 1.912351 2.384665 3.098396 4.413540 7.414392 19.083244 NaN
2026-02-01 1.839715 2.295575 2.985485 4.259929 7.182812 18.733914 NaN
2026-02-08 1.780885 2.225254 2.899959 4.153066 7.059031 18.962404 NaN
2026-02-15 1.741100 2.182157 2.856622 4.124325 7.138106 20.571894 NaN
2026-02-22 1.710771 2.152133 2.833006 4.131900 7.319070 23.289885 NaN
2026-03-01 1.668431 2.102281 2.774141 4.064286 7.275428 24.306131 NaN
2026-03-08 1.612992 2.030892 2.676898 3.913606 6.971315 22.758478 NaN